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Wednesday, November 03, 2004

Post-mortem

In comparing 2000 and 2004 vote totals, Bush improved (got a higher % of the vote) in 47 out of the 50 states, plus DC. The only states where Bush dropped from his 2000 share of the vote were Vermont (-1.8%), South Dakota and Montana (each less than a 0.4% drop). Nationally, Bush gained about 3.1% over his 2000 vote share.

The state that made the sharpest plunge towards RED territory was Hawai'i, where Bush improved more than 7.8% from 2000. Others where Bush improved more than 5% from 2000 were Rhode Island, New Jersey, Connecticutt, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and New York.

Kerry beat Gore's vote share in 27 states, mostly due to the reduced influence of Ralph Nader in 2004 as compared to 2000, including improvements of greater than 6% in Vermont, Alaska, and Montana. His worst showings were losses of greater than 2% in Tennessee, Oklahoma, New Jersey, Louisiana, New York, and Alabama. Kerry beat the combined 2000 vote share of Gore and Nader in only 5 states - Vermont, South Dakota, North Carolina, Montana, and Idaho.



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