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Tuesday, December 21, 2004

They're Back



What could be better than naked French rugby players?

Friday, December 17, 2004

40/50 States

Never
Alabama, Alaska, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oregon

Just Barely
Kentucky, Michigan, New Hampshire

Passing Through
Arkansas, Colorado, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia

Day Trip, maybe Overnight
Arizona, New Mexico, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Wisconsin, Wyoming

A Few Times
Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio

Destinations
District of Columbia, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Jersey, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Washington

Homes Sweet Homes
California, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia

Thursday, December 16, 2004

Tin Roof? Rusted.
The tin roof and a burned-out frame are all that remain of a cabin believed to have inspired the B-52's '80s party hit "Love Shack."

...

"I just was in touch with the B-52's," said Allisa Huestis of Atlanta, who had planned to move into the renovated house next week. "They said it was the original Love Shack and was where they created `Rock Lobster,"' the popular song from the band's 1979 self-titled debut album.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2004/12/16/entertainment1756EST0667.DTL

Wednesday, December 15, 2004

Strip Malls, Subdivisions, and SUVs

It's not Guns, God and Gays.

Atlantic Herring



Clupea harengus are considered to be the most populous species of fish on Earth. They can grow up to 45 cm in length and live in large schools. They play an important part in the food chain, as they feed on plankton and are prey for larger fish species. Herring populate the North Atlantic and southern Arctic oceans and were a staple in the diet of the native coastal inhabitants of both North America and northern Europe. In the Netherlands, the opening of the herring season in early May is met with much fanfare, and the first ton of herring caught is traditionally given to the Queen. Today's commercial herring industry operates in the open seas off the coast of New England (especially Maine) and the Atlantic provinces of Canada. Although, in Europe, the North Sea is still recovering from decades of overfishing, Atlantic herring are considered a ecologically responsible seafood item to eat.

Herring are a fatty fish rich in omega-fatty acids. They are commonly preserved by salting, smoking and pickling. My mom makes a great herring salad, a crunchy salad of pickled herring, potatoes, beets, nuts, celery, and carrots.

Etc.

I posted the below entry to my diary over at dKos. I tried to draw an analogy between the vote gains Bush made in the blue states in the Northeast with the UCBerkeley study, which found disproportionate Bush vote gains in Broward and Palm Beach counties in Florida. Lots of entertaining comments.

Tuesday, December 14, 2004

Vote %, 2000-2004

Fun with graphs! On the x axis is what % of the vote Bush captured in each of the 50 states in 2000. On the y axis is by what vote share % that Bush improved in each state from 2000 to 2004.



Most states fall within a certain band with an approximate correlation between what % of the people voted for Bush in 2000 and by what % improved his performance in that state in 2004. However, several fall outside this band, most significantly the solid blue states of the Northeast - New York, New Jersey, Connecticutt, Massachusetts and Rhode Island - as well as Hawaii. Bush made his most significant vote share improvements in those states.

Secondarily, Bush also somewhat disproportionately improved upon his 2000 showing in the blue states of California, Illinois, Maryland and Delaware, as well as the red state of Tennessee. Tennessee can be easily explained because of the Gore "favorite son" effect artificially suppressing Bush's vote share in 2000.

On the flip side, there are a number of states in which Bush's 2004 performance was disproportionately worse. Bucking the trend of the rest of the Northeast is Vermont, in which Bush actually did worse in 2004 than in 2000. Bush also had disproportionately poor showings in Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, South Dakota (along with Vermont, the only state where Bush did worse in 2004 than in 2000), and North and South Carolina. North and South Carolina's appearance on this list can be attributed to the presence of John Edwards on the Democratic ticket. As for the other states, I would argue that Bush is slowly losing the libertarian elements of the Republican party. This probably also explains Vermont. Democrats take note.

The red dots correspond to states in which an anti-marriage initiative appeared on the November ballot. As I discussed earlier, the presence of these initiatives did nothing to improve Bush's relative performance in that state.

Finally, to the conspiracy theorists, both Florida and Ohio are soundly in the mass of states that occupy the middle band. I don't see anything that suggests that election fraud occurred on a large enough of a scale to affect Bush's performance in those states. Indeed, in the case of Ohio, if Bush did in fact do worse in 2004 as some conspiracy theorists suggest, that would make Ohio a statistical outlier.

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